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Market Update · October 30, 2026 · 5 min read

California Has the Three Most Expensive Metros in America. The West Was the Only Region Where Prices Fell.

The National Association of Realtors published its third-quarter metro home price report on October 29, 2026. Nationally, the median price of an existing single-family home was $432,900, up 1.7% from a year earlier, and prices rose in 78% of the metro areas NAR tracks — down from 80% in the second quarter, with declines in 21% (NAR, October 29, 2026).

Two findings in that report deserve a California homeowner’s attention, and they pull in opposite directions. The three most expensive metro markets in the United States are all in this state. And the West was the only region in the country where the median price came in below last year.

The priciest metros in the country are all California

NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun credited the AI boom with keeping the Bay Area the most expensive market in the country (same report). That is his attribution of the cause, not ours, and it is worth separating from the price itself.

  • ·San Jose–Sunnyvale–Santa Clara led the nation at a $1,920,000 median, up 0.3% year over year (NAR, Q3 2026)
  • ·Anaheim–Santa Ana–Irvine was second at $1,470,000, up 5.0%
  • ·San Francisco–Oakland–Hayward was third at $1,350,900, up 2.7%
  • ·San Diego–Carlsbad came in at $1,075,000, up 6.5%

The West was the only region with a lower median

Regionally, NAR put the West’s median single-family price at $629,000, down 0.6% from a year earlier — the one region of the four to post an annual decline. The Northeast ran the other way, up 4.0% to $561,500 (same report).

So both things hold at once: California homes carry the highest price tags in the country, and the region they sit in has no price growth to show for the past year. A high price level is not the same thing as momentum, and a seller who confuses the two tends to anchor on what a neighbor got in 2022.

Inside California, the quarter ran 13 points apart

The statewide average hides how differently local markets performed. In the same NAR quarter, San Diego–Carlsbad rose 6.5% while Salinas–Monterey fell 7.0% to a $948,900 median — a spread of more than 13 percentage points inside one state, in one three-month window.

The California Association of Realtors put the statewide median for an existing single-family home at $899,720 in September, up 1.7% year over year, with sales running 6.5% below September 2025 (C.A.R. September home sales and price report, October 19, 2026).

If you are listing in Redding, Fresno, Bakersfield or Riverside, neither the national headline nor the San Jose number tells you much about your own street. What the quarter does tell you is that a current comparable-sales analysis of your own market is doing far more work right now than any statewide or national average.

What this changes if you are listing now

Freddie Mac’s weekly survey put the 30-year fixed average at 7.24% for the week ending October 29, 2026, down from 7.32% the week before and up from 6.17% a year earlier; the 15-year averaged 6.60% (Freddie Mac PMMS). Those are national averages for borrowers with strong credit putting 20% down, not a quote any individual buyer will get.

C.A.R. also reported that active listings statewide rose 0.5% year over year in September — the first annual increase in eight months — with the Unsold Inventory Index at 3.7 months (same C.A.R. report). We do not forecast prices or rates, and neither of those figures predicts what happens next. Together they argue for pricing to the buyer shopping this month rather than to a number from a stronger year.

Here is where a high price level matters for an entirely different reason. A percentage commission charges you off the number on the price tag, not off the amount of work involved. On a $1,000,000 home, a traditional listing-side commission of about 3% runs roughly $30,000. Realonomie lists your home on the same MLS every agent uses, with a licensed California broker, for $999 at MLS launch — non-refundable, and it covers photography, signage, the dedicated property page and marketing — plus $5,000 paid out of escrow only if the home actually closes. On that $1,000,000 home that is $5,999 in total against roughly $30,000: $24K+ you keep. Above the first million the closing fee adds $2,500 for each additional million, so a sale at the $1,920,000 San Jose median would be $999 up front plus $7,500 at close. See the full fee schedule.

A record-high price tag and a flat regional market are not a contradiction. They are the reason the two decisions still in your hands — what you list at on day one, and what the sale costs you — carry more weight this quarter than usual. This article is general market information, not legal, tax or investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

Which U.S. metro had the highest home prices in the third quarter of 2026?

San Jose–Sunnyvale–Santa Clara, at a $1,920,000 median for an existing single-family home, up 0.3% year over year. Anaheim–Santa Ana–Irvine was second at $1,470,000 (up 5.0%) and San Francisco–Oakland–Hayward third at $1,350,900 (up 2.7%), per the National Association of Realtors report released October 29, 2026. The national median was $432,900, up 1.7%.

Did California home prices fall in the third quarter of 2026?

It depends entirely on the metro. NAR reported on October 29, 2026 that the West region’s median fell 0.6% to $629,000, the only region of four to decline. Within California the same quarter ranged from San Diego–Carlsbad up 6.5% to Salinas–Monterey down 7.0%. Statewide, C.A.R. reported a September median of $899,720, up 1.7% year over year. This is general market information, not investment advice.

What is the current 30-year mortgage rate?

Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey reported a 30-year fixed average of 7.24% for the week ending October 29, 2026, down from 7.32% the prior week and up from 6.17% a year earlier, with the 15-year at 6.60%. That survey reflects conventional, conforming loans for borrowers with excellent credit putting 20% down, so an individual buyer’s quote will differ. We do not predict where rates go next.

What does Realonomie charge to list a California home?

$999 when the listing goes live on the MLS, which is non-refundable, plus a fee paid from escrow only if the home actually sells: $5,000 on sales up to $1,000,000, plus $2,500 for each additional million. On a $1,000,000 home that is $5,999 in total, against a traditional listing-side commission of about 3% — roughly $30,000 on that same $1,000,000 home. A $1,920,000 sale would be $999 up front plus $7,500 at close under that same tier rule.

Get a free, no-obligation home value report and see what your home would sell for in your own market, not the statewide average.

Realonomie · Casy Rasti, Broker of Record, DRE #01342214 · Brokerage DRE #02141655 · $999 at launch + $5,000 from escrow at close.